The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued the following advisory for Tropical Depression Ramil (also known as Fengshen) near the Philippines on Friday (17 October):
• RAMIL is forecast to move generally west-northwestward or northwestward after a brief west-southwestward movement.
• The storm may make landfall or pass close to Northern Samar around midday or early afternoon Saturday (18 October).
• It is expected to cross or pass near Catanduanes later this afternoon or evening.
• Based on its observed motion, the likelihood of landfall over Albay or Sorsogon is increasing.
• RAMIL will likely continue moving west-northwestward, passing close to or over mainland Bicol Region and the Polillo Islands before another potential landfall over Aurora Province Sunday (19 October).
• A landfall over northern Quezon or southern Isabela remains possible within the forecast confidence cone.
• After crossing Aurora, RAMIL is expected to move across Northern Luzon, emerging over the coastal waters of Pangasinan or La Union by tomorrow evening.
• The system is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Monday (20 October).
• Heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still affect regions outside the immediate landfall and forecast cone.
