KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- PAGASA reports Tropical Storm Basyang (international name Penha) was centred roughly 295 km east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur as of 1100 hours on 05 February 2026, packing sustained winds of 65 km/h and gusts up to 80 km/h.
- Basyang is forecast to make initial landfall over Surigao del Sur on Thursday night, cross Mindanao into the Bohol Sea by Friday morning, potentially brush or make a second landfall near Siquijor and southern Negros Oriental, then traverse the Sulu Sea and northern Palawan by Saturday evening before weakening to a tropical depression and, by Monday 09 February, a low-pressure area.
- Several provinces are under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 and No. 2, and strong to gale-force gusts are forecast to reach as far as Metro Manila and Central Luzon by Saturday.
- Coastal waters off Surigao del Sur could see wave heights up to 5.0 metres, with rough seas of up to 4.5 metres along several eastern seaboards.
Tropical Storm Basyang, internationally named Penha, is tracking across the Philippines this week, and PAGASA’s latest bulletin points to a multi-day path through Mindanao, the Visayas and Palawan. Here is the current picture and what to do about it.
Where is Tropical Storm Basyang and where is it headed?
As of 1100 hours local time on Thursday, 05 February, PAGASA placed the centre of Basyang approximately 295 kilometres east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur, packing maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the centre with gusts of up to 80 km/h, a central pressure of 1000 hectopascals, and moving westward at around 25 km/h. The storm is forecast to make its initial landfall over Surigao del Sur on Thursday night, then cross Mindanao and emerge over the Bohol Sea by Friday morning, potentially passing close to or making a second landfall near Siquijor and southern Negros Oriental by Friday afternoon. By Friday evening or Saturday morning it is expected to emerge over the Sulu Sea and traverse northern Palawan between Saturday afternoon and evening. Basyang may intensify slightly before its initial landfall, then weaken as it interacts with land, though PAGASA expects it to remain a tropical storm through most of this track before weakening to a tropical depression by Saturday and a low-pressure area by Monday, 09 February.
Which areas are under wind signal warnings?
Several provinces are under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 2, indicating a minimal to moderate threat to life and property with a 24-to-36-hour warning lead time: Siquijor, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, southern Cebu, southern Bohol, northwestern Negros Oriental, extreme northern Davao Oriental, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, northern Bukidnon, northeastern Lanao del Norte and northeastern Misamis Occidental. TCWS No. 1 covers Davao del Norte, northern Davao del Sur, Bukidnon, northern Cotabato, Lanao del Sur, northern Maguindanao del Norte, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga del Norte and northern Zamboanga Sibugay.
What hazards should coastal and land areas expect?
Wave heights of up to 5.0 metres may affect the seaboard of Surigao del Sur, with rough seas of up to 4.5 metres along the eastern seaboards of Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, the Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands, Dinagat Islands and northern Davao Oriental, and seas of up to 4.0 metres affecting Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon and remaining parts of Eastern Samar and Davao Oriental. On land, strong to gale-force gusts are forecast on Friday, 06 February across a wide band including Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Pampanga, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, the Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas and much of Mindanao. By Saturday, 07 February the gust footprint expands further north to include Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Cagayan, Isabela, most of Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas and most of the Bicol Region.
What should businesses and residents do to prepare?
It is advised to monitor official PAGASA tropical cyclone bulletins and related advisories, and avoid non-essential travel in areas under active wind signals. Residents in coastal, low-lying and flood-prone areas should maintain essential supplies including water, food, medicines, flashlights and backup power sources, avoid flooded or debris-covered roads and landslide-prone areas, and exercise heightened caution near damaged power infrastructure, fallen trees and structurally weakened buildings during adverse weather.
Frequently asked questions
Will Tropical Storm Basyang affect Metro Manila?
Yes. PAGASA forecasts strong to gale-force gusts reaching Metro Manila and CALABARZON on both Friday, 06 February and Saturday, 07 February as the storm’s wind field expands northward.
Is Basyang expected to intensify into a typhoon?
PAGASA’s forecast has Basyang possibly intensifying slightly before its initial landfall but expects it to remain a tropical storm through most of its track, before weakening to a tropical depression by Saturday, 07 February and a low-pressure area by Monday, 09 February.
What is the emergency contact information in the Philippines?
National Emergency Hotline: 911; Philippine National Police: 117 or (02) 8772-0650; PAGASA: (02) 8284-0800.
Stay updated
Conditions can change quickly as Basyang moves through the Philippine archipelago. Monitor PAGASA’s official bulletins directly for the latest track, intensity and wind signal updates, and refer to datasurfr’s Risk Flash service for consolidated, business-focused updates as the situation develops.
Filed under: APACRegional Risk Reviews
